Calling It For Obama

I've been calling the 2012 election for Obama in private for a while. I figured it was time to put it up here.

Romney is going to be the nominee. While Herman Cain is an amusing sideshow, he'll never actually get the nomination, and Rick Perry's terrible debate performance has dispelled his initial aura of gravitas.

So Romney takes the Republican nomination, but he can't beat Obama because he's weak with his base. This is true both on the political front due to his tenure as governor in the heart of east coast liberalism and on the cultural front due to his religion. Obama's base is mad at him, but not nearly that mad.

So, once again, it is my considered opinion that Barack Obama will win re-election to the presidency in 2012. Now strap in for the Congressional elections, because those should be a lot more interesting.